Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.030456 0.035652 0.041385 0.048169 0.055964 0.064629 0.074979
2025-06-29 0.021527 0.027961 0.035744 0.045809 0.058430 0.073680 0.093444
2025-07-06 0.016229 0.023106 0.032124 0.044715 0.061722 0.083760 0.114324
2025-07-13 0.013660 0.021068 0.031483 0.047008 0.069337 0.100013 0.144999
2025-07-20 0.011564 0.019177 0.030575 0.048588 0.075968 0.115552 0.176486
2025-07-27 0.009343 0.016604 0.028139 0.047398 0.078216 0.124915 0.200055
2025-08-03 0.007777 0.014734 0.026409 0.046901 0.081254 0.135550 0.226428
2025-08-10 0.006370 0.012840 0.024282 0.045346 0.082245 0.142917 0.248274
2025-08-17 0.005305 0.011341 0.022560 0.044155 0.083563 0.150771 0.271485
2025-08-24 0.004589 0.010362 0.021594 0.044121 0.086789 0.162004 0.301270
2025-08-31 0.003868 0.009225 0.020136 0.042924 0.087693 0.169203 0.324652
2025-09-07 0.003575 0.008940 0.020303 0.044868 0.094649 0.187782 0.369856
2025-09-14 0.003117 0.008210 0.019471 0.044749 0.097722 0.199775 0.404662
2025-09-21 0.002636 0.007326 0.018166 0.043453 0.098286 0.207102 0.431497
2025-09-28 0.002278 0.006668 0.017249 0.042852 0.100187 0.217174 0.464525
2025-10-05 0.002156 0.006591 0.017664 0.045287 0.108812 0.241432 0.527654
2025-10-12 0.001998 0.006385 0.017736 0.046929 0.115882 0.263160 0.587566
2025-10-19 0.001721 0.005782 0.016721 0.045832 0.116660 0.271818 0.621358
2025-10-26 0.001513 0.005330 0.016013 0.045378 0.118845 0.283641 0.662769
2025-11-02 0.001292 0.004785 0.014959 0.043882 0.118362 0.289555 0.691976
2025-11-09 0.001115 0.004337 0.014090 0.042732 0.118563 0.296970 0.725046
2025-11-16 0.000997 0.004059 0.013662 0.042703 0.121541 0.310959 0.773904
2025-11-23 0.000862 0.003683 0.012870 0.041542 0.121472 0.317818 0.807088